{
  "page": "cto-outcomes",
  "title": "How often do pump.fun community takeovers (CTOs) succeed?",
  "updated": "2026-09-11T05:30:13.258882+00:00",
  "source": "https://belphor.com/data/cto-outcomes",
  "license": "CC BY 4.0",
  "groups": {
    "all": [
      {
        "k": "all",
        "n": 351,
        "dead": 17.4,
        "hit30": 65.5,
        "hit50": 52.7,
        "hit200": 19.4,
        "covered": 172,
        "med_now_x": 0.52,
        "med_peak_x": 1.56
      }
    ],
    "mcap": [
      {
        "k": "1: under $15k",
        "n": 192,
        "dead": 2.2,
        "hit30": 63,
        "hit50": 49,
        "hit200": 20.3,
        "covered": 90,
        "med_now_x": 0.64,
        "med_peak_x": 1.48
      },
      {
        "k": "2: $15k to $50k",
        "n": 107,
        "dead": 35.1,
        "hit30": 68.2,
        "hit50": 58.9,
        "hit200": 20.6,
        "covered": 57,
        "med_now_x": 0.3,
        "med_peak_x": 1.71
      },
      {
        "k": "3: $50k to $150k",
        "n": 38,
        "dead": 21.4,
        "hit30": 81.6,
        "hit50": 60.5,
        "hit200": 10.5,
        "covered": 14,
        "med_now_x": 0.85,
        "med_peak_x": 1.72
      },
      {
        "k": "4: over $150k",
        "n": 14,
        "dead": 45.5,
        "hit30": 35.7,
        "hit50": 35.7,
        "hit200": 21.4,
        "covered": 11,
        "med_now_x": 0.21,
        "med_peak_x": 1.22
      }
    ],
    "month": [
      {
        "k": "2026-07",
        "n": 103,
        "dead": 0,
        "hit30": 64.1,
        "hit50": 56.3,
        "hit200": 20.4,
        "covered": 2,
        "med_now_x": 29.28,
        "med_peak_x": 1.7
      },
      {
        "k": "2026-08",
        "n": 235,
        "dead": 16.6,
        "hit30": 66.4,
        "hit50": 51.1,
        "hit200": 18.7,
        "covered": 157,
        "med_now_x": 0.52,
        "med_peak_x": 1.52
      },
      {
        "k": "2026-09",
        "n": 13,
        "dead": 30.8,
        "hit30": 61.5,
        "hit50": 53.8,
        "hit200": 23.1,
        "covered": 13,
        "med_now_x": 0.74,
        "med_peak_x": 1.54
      }
    ],
    "score": [
      {
        "k": "1: under 40",
        "n": 47,
        "dead": 0,
        "hit30": 57.4,
        "hit50": 48.9,
        "hit200": 19.1,
        "covered": 21,
        "med_now_x": 0.73,
        "med_peak_x": 1.48
      },
      {
        "k": "2: 40 to 59",
        "n": 247,
        "dead": 22,
        "hit30": 67.6,
        "hit50": 54.7,
        "hit200": 20.2,
        "covered": 118,
        "med_now_x": 0.49,
        "med_peak_x": 1.59
      },
      {
        "k": "3: 60 to 79",
        "n": 57,
        "dead": 12.1,
        "hit30": 63.2,
        "hit50": 47.4,
        "hit200": 15.8,
        "covered": 33,
        "med_now_x": 0.52,
        "med_peak_x": 1.46
      }
    ]
  },
  "window_days": 90
}